Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.340811 11.455840 12.653446 14.037496 15.595543 17.298174 19.303668
2025-09-14 8.462555 9.958346 11.678090 13.810031 16.393656 19.437858 23.317734
2025-09-21 7.049799 8.726293 10.767837 13.455730 16.929224 21.304070 27.290629
2025-09-28 6.077698 7.859329 10.140203 13.307010 17.641427 23.440975 31.914808
2025-10-05 5.533112 7.444579 10.005954 13.741027 19.135423 26.778964 38.674242
2025-10-12 5.077622 7.077223 9.868437 14.123489 20.578733 30.224401 46.152926
2025-10-19 4.614491 6.633826 9.555875 14.189904 21.537953 33.060897 53.158649
2025-10-26 4.178606 6.174124 9.155682 14.054839 22.140932 35.394434 59.712118
2025-11-02 3.796462 5.749982 8.754740 13.854654 22.588703 37.505142 66.210531
2025-11-09 3.462072 5.363005 8.365496 13.615972 22.921385 39.437464 72.688670
2025-11-16 3.186105 5.040366 8.042819 13.443086 23.330640 41.539133 79.834217
2025-11-23 2.961779 4.779714 7.793675 13.362554 23.883584 43.964903 88.047393
2025-11-30 2.816426 4.642618 7.747689 13.653595 25.197160 48.109559 100.844276
2025-12-07 2.621478 4.402766 7.499811 13.544210 25.723645 50.767614 110.951637
2025-12-14 2.421661 4.136764 7.179942 13.261076 25.863291 52.641173 119.651522
2025-12-21 2.266918 3.937842 6.962889 13.151559 26.342360 55.314732 130.870409
2025-12-28 2.198785 3.890886 7.023393 13.602155 28.074151 61.074271 151.289455
2026-01-04 2.127820 3.831956 7.054358 13.993710 29.729941 66.941674 173.486919
2026-01-11 2.026205 3.705782 6.941793 14.067355 30.670742 71.240021 192.391532
2026-01-18 1.911668 3.545225 6.746178 13.938190 31.116361 74.370333 208.673030
2026-01-25 1.800186 3.382100 6.531272 13.742517 31.374536 77.059149 224.317983
2026-02-01 1.694181 3.222080 6.309460 13.507528 31.504090 79.428646 239.596842
2026-02-08 1.602546 3.084661 6.123912 13.337069 31.775729 82.242568 257.175927